Bank for International Settlements: The biggest threat to global stability is the debt carnival of governments. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) said that the biggest threat to world economic stability is the government's borrowing habits, and the recent changes in market sentiment should be vigilant. Claudio Borio, a senior official of BIS, said in his quarterly report that priority should be given to repairing public finances before the panic of bond investors spreads. "The global financial outlook is still very worrying," said the retiring head of the BIS monetary and economic department. "The trajectory of government debt poses the most serious threat to macroeconomic and financial stability."As interest rates fell for the third week in a row, the demand for mortgage refinancing in the United States surged, and the interest rate of mortgage in the United States fell again last week. Although the decline was not large, it was enough to stimulate existing homeowners to seek some savings. The seasonally adjusted index of American Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) shows that the total demand for mortgage loans has increased by 5.4%, which is behind the surge in refinancing. Housing loan refinancing applications surged 27% from the previous week and 42% higher than the same period last year. Joel Kan, an MBA economist, said, "Purchase applications are still relatively strong. In the past three months, except for one week, there has been a year-on-year increase. In addition to the low interest rate, house purchasing activities continue to be supported by continuous housing demand and inventory, which continue to grow gradually in many markets. "Institution: US CPI data may trigger currency and national debt fluctuations. Joseph Dahrieh, an analyst at Tickmill, said in a report that the US CPI data in November will be released later, which may provide important information for the Fed's policy prospects and may trigger short-term fluctuations in the currency and bond markets. The overall inflation rate is expected to rise from 2.6% in October to 2.7%. However, he said that stronger-than-expected data may delay the Fed's interest rate cut plan, which may continue the recent rally of the US dollar; The lower-than-expected inflation data may strengthen the expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in December, putting downward pressure on the US dollar. In addition, he said that the yield of US Treasury bonds has stabilized recently, but it may also react strongly to the release of inflation data.
The United States has approved the sale of arms facilities worth nearly 600 million US dollars to Kuwait and Ukraine. The US Department of Defense said in a statement that the State Council has approved the sale of vehicle maintenance equipment with an estimated value of 300 million US dollars to Kuwait. On the same day, it also approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of US$ 266.4 million.The heads of the South Korean Police Department and Seoul Local Police Department were arrested urgently. According to Yonhap News Agency's report quoted by the special investigation team, the South Korean authorities arrested two heads of the police department without arrest warrants on suspicion of preventing them from entering or leaving the National Assembly during martial law. According to reports, Cho Ji-ho, director of the South Korean Police Department, and Kim Bong-sik, director of the Seoul Local Police Department, were "urgently arrested".As interest rates fell for the third week in a row, the demand for mortgage refinancing in the United States surged, and the interest rate of mortgage in the United States fell again last week. Although the decline was not large, it was enough to stimulate existing homeowners to seek some savings. The seasonally adjusted index of American Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) shows that the total demand for mortgage loans has increased by 5.4%, which is behind the surge in refinancing. Housing loan refinancing applications surged 27% from the previous week and 42% higher than the same period last year. Joel Kan, an MBA economist, said, "Purchase applications are still relatively strong. In the past three months, except for one week, there has been a year-on-year increase. In addition to the low interest rate, house purchasing activities continue to be supported by continuous housing demand and inventory, which continue to grow gradually in many markets. "
General Administration of Customs: According to the People's Republic of China (PRC) Ship Tonnage Tax Law, the Maritime Agreement between the Government of People's Republic of China (PRC) and the Government of the Republic of Liberia and the relevant notice of the Ministry of Finance, from December 11, 2024 to December 10, 2029, the taxable ships of the Republic of Liberia will be subject to the preferential tax rate of ship tonnage tax.Jon Finer, US Deputy National Security Adviser: (When asked about the prospect of the Gaza peace agreement before Biden's term ends) After the cease-fire of Hezbollah, this matter has gained new vitality. Biden wants to end the Gaza war and return the hostages to their homes. We will send officials to the Middle East in the next few weeks. The talks will focus on how to take the hostages home. This is the goal of this government in the remaining weeks.A rational view of the surge in the bond market should not ignore the risks behind it. Recently, bond yields have dropped rapidly. When investors enjoy the dividends brought by the surge in the bond market, they must also remain rational and not ignore the risks behind them. The market has filled the expectations of the bond market. If there is a gap between future policy implementation and expectations, the market may have the possibility of substantial adjustment. Most financial institutions are bulls in the bond market. In the case of unilateral upward interest rates and no hedging instruments, once the market is obviously disturbed, it is necessary to be alert to the risk of trampling. At present, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds has dropped to 1.84%. Market participants should realize that the future downside is limited, but the upside is great. (SSE)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13